Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 5.387689 6.288936 7.251273 8.350689 9.567249 10.867664 12.358141
2025-11-09 3.905134 5.087686 6.447803 8.108665 10.062472 12.268762 14.928709
2025-11-16 2.937192 4.253913 5.877383 7.981023 10.588237 13.667827 17.532361
2025-11-23 2.252655 3.619977 5.421482 7.885655 11.082761 15.006081 20.094797
2025-11-30 1.900233 3.346128 5.362514 8.246218 12.126461 17.030951 23.553385
2025-12-07 1.526454 2.963196 5.088542 8.266599 12.697019 18.456230 26.295766
2025-12-14 1.139828 2.475739 4.586726 7.898422 12.689040 19.097270 28.026009
2025-12-21 0.858455 2.093747 4.178761 7.603844 12.732099 19.773034 29.790012
2025-12-28 0.757640 2.010381 4.225708 7.981223 13.734902 21.770481 33.357513
2026-01-04 0.694378 1.984623 4.359740 8.494025 14.949216 24.090668 37.416230
2026-01-11 0.627821 1.936857 4.445917 8.928403 16.056820 26.286697 41.353162
2026-01-18 0.527545 1.791683 4.337842 9.030330 16.655375 27.768120 44.329884
2026-01-25 0.408091 1.572129 4.069013 8.850288 16.824186 28.660317 46.547447
2026-02-01 0.310333 1.372416 3.806845 8.653699 16.948580 29.484023 48.684871
2026-02-08 0.239507 1.217853 3.609569 8.548639 17.204187 30.498526 51.108611
2026-02-15 0.184022 1.084440 3.434094 8.463196 17.479336 31.541624 53.589726
2026-02-22 0.164486 1.064274 3.507862 8.850719 18.557854 33.833073 57.938903
2026-03-01 0.130044 0.972336 3.400235 8.876320 19.017724 35.179371 60.919085
2026-03-08 0.086955 0.813769 3.100471 8.490439 18.741152 35.362459 62.165946
2026-03-15 0.057553 0.687436 2.852968 8.180844 18.572380 35.697272 63.633062
2026-03-22 0.051733 0.684714 2.939313 8.579375 19.686312 38.102635 68.275486
2026-03-29 0.049511 0.703329 3.088143 9.120063 21.074196 40.974888 73.671946
2026-04-05 0.045524 0.707901 3.196647 9.577624 22.322109 43.642647 78.793216